Domino

An earnings night

The board follows one night, from the US close to the European open. The timeline at the top shows where it stands; the map in the middle draws tonight's reports and their European links; the panel on the right explains the link you select.

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1. 1Night timelineUS close → After hours → Locked → Europe open → Scored. The lit step is where the night stands.
2. 2StateLive after hours, Locked for the open, Europe open, Session scored… or Quiet night when no tracked report is in play.
3. 3CountdownTime left before the European open.
4. 4US reportsTonight's reporting companies and their after-hours move.
5. 5European linksEach linked stock and its projected open. Click a line or a name to see it in detail.
6. 6Selected linkThe projection, its usual range and every past report of the link.
7. 7Next US reportsThe coming reports of tracked companies and their European links. ≈ marks a date that is expected, not confirmed.
8. 8Public scoreHow often published projections got the direction right, their average error, and the last results.

The map

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1. 1Tonight and All linksTonight's map, or the list of every tracked link.
2. 2Tonight in figuresUS reports in play, projections made, and how many links are validated.
3. 3A US reportThe company, its after-hours move and the time it was read.
4. 4Projected openThe European stock's projected opening move. After the open, the real move with a ✓ or ✗.
5. 5How to read the linesGreen: projected up; pink: projected down; dashed: history only. The thicker the line, the more often the two moved in the same direction.

A link in detail

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1. 1The linkUS company → European stock, why they are linked, and the European exchange.
2. 2StatusValidated links passed Domino's statistical tests. Others are building their sample, not reliable, or missing data.
3. 3Projected openThe projected opening move and its usual range, from the link's past reactions to moves of this size.
4. 4Range barThe usual range around zero, and the projection inside it.
5. 5ConfidenceStrong, established or limited, and how many past reports it rests on.
6. 6StatisticsHow often the two moved in the same direction, the median open after a US rise and after a US fall, and how often the move held to the close.

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1. 1Every reportEach past report: the US after-hours move, the European open the next morning, and ✓ when they went the same way.
2. 2Left outReports that cannot be compared fairly (the European company's own results that day, a split, a holiday…) are shown but not counted.

After the European open

At 9:00 Paris time the real opening moves come in. Each projection gets a ✓ when the direction was right and is checked against its range. Opening moves are marked provisional until the official end-of-day prices confirm them.

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1. 1Real opening moveThe real move at the open, with the projection and whether it stayed in range.
2. 2Both on the barThe projection and the real move side by side on the usual range.

Indicative projections

A link that has not passed validation yet can still get a projection, marked ≈ and Indicative: it comes from the link's own past reports, or from the usual reaction of Domino's other links. Indicative projections are scored like the others and marked ≈ in the scorecard.

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1. 1≈ on the mapIndicative values are written in italics, after ≈.
2. 2IndicativeThe Indicative chip: the link has not passed Domino's validation yet. The note gives the basis of the projection, and the reminder that it is indicative only, not investment advice.

All links

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1. 1SearchA US or European company, or a ticker.
2. 2StatusValidated, Building, Not reliable, Unavailable, with their counts.
3. 3A linkBoth companies, the relation, the status, and how often they moved in the same direction. Click to see it in detail.

Quiet nights

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1. 1Quiet nightNo tracked US report is in play for the next European open.
2. 2Next reportsThe next reporting companies, with their date; Next marks the closest one.
3. 3Past agreementHow many past opens went in the same direction, e.g. 10/12.

The scorecard

Every projection stays on the Scorecard page, hits and misses alike.

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1. 1TotalsScored projections, direction right, mean error in points, and how often the open stayed in the usual range.
2. 2Every projectionSession, US report, European stock, after-hours move, projected and actual open, direction and range.